March 31st 2008
One US Economist’s View on our situation
After months of debate over whether we are actually in a recession or not, one man has weighed in with his view on the situation. Jan Hatzius Senior US Economist at Goldman Sachs’ New York office stated today he actually does believe we are in a recession and have been for the past three months. He went on to say that the recession should endure through the first half of 2008.
The risks of a deep recession have increased over the years, but it is not likely we will enter one in the U.S.
While our economy continues it slow growth (only 3% a year), China has seen a 10% economic growth per year for the past quarter century. Due to the fact the U.S. economy is struggling, China may only see a 3% less growth this year as opposed to 2007.
One bright spot in the economy is exports. With the continued industrial growth overseas, there is a steady demand for steel. This means that if you are looking for a good pick any steel company should be ok on your list. Copper companies would be a good play right now too.
(Note: This is market news I have heard from various news sources and is not intended for actual investment advice)
